Re: Fwd: Public user prediction software?

On Mon, Apr 26, 2021, 12:21 PM coderman wrote:

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hello Karl!

my replies below clearsigned as usual,

‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ Original Message ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ On Monday, April 26, 2021 6:42 AM, Karl wrote:

...

... Couldn't a user provide their own keystrokes, mouse movements, etc and fine-tune a personalised model on their own system?

this would simply be personalization, not behavioral prediction.

? I do not see personal behavior prediction as a contradiction. all of the behavioral prediction models are based on statistics;

you need a sufficient sample size to make inferences from the data.

i don't know of any methods that work with a sample size of 1.

if you look at open source projects for behavioral modeling and prediction, you see they all use large datasets to build the models.

E.g. https://github.com/numenta/nupic, https://github.com/numenta/nupic.core

Looks like it would work, to me, with some work. If that's not clear to you: - models trained on huge datasets can be fine-tuned on small datasets and work effectively - a single user has a lot of statistical data. The sample size is not one: it is every streaming datapoint they produce. - many users are likely to be interested in trying it out.

But wouldn't it be _better_ to have this data out in the public

...

than held privately by marketing and military organisations?

i am not convinced it would be better: consider being a victim of identity theft. should you just post your personal info out in the clear, knowing that some are using it already?

no, that'd just make the problem worse.

I guess this depends on your relationship with marketing and military organisations vs your relationship with the rest of the world. If you are a military target among a community of caring academics, it seems far better to have your data in the clear than privately held. same with an open source open data privacy invasion system:

it's still privacy invasive and detrimental!

there are some uses of technology that just SHOULD NOT BE.

i remain open to changing my mind, however :)

Yeah this is like drugs, guns, or cryptography, it gets more violent if the resource is not in the clear for those who desire it to be. best regards,

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