October 2016 - cypherpunks@lists.ogf.org

[Nuclear/CB War] Cuban Muscle Crisis
by Razer 12 Oct '16

12 Oct '16

ROTF Cuba! Russia considers opening military base in Cuba http://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/nation-world/national/article107470472.html "Hagbard Celine’s gigantic computer, FUCKUP-First Universal Cybernetic-Kinetic-Ultramicro-Programmer- was basically a rather sophisticated form of the standard self-programming algorithmic logic machine of the time; the name was one of his whimsies. FUCKUP’s real claim to uniqueness was a programmed stochastic process whereby it could “throw” an I Ching hexagram, reading’ a random open circuit as a broken (yin) line and a random closed circuit as a full (yang) line until six such “lines” were round. Consulting its memory banks, where the whole tradition of I Ching interpretation was stored, and then cross-checking its current scannings of that day’s political, economic, meteorological, astrological, astronomical, and technological eccentricities, it would provide a reading of the hexagram which, to Hagbard’s mind, combined the best of the scientific and occult methods for spotting oncoming trends. On March 13, the stochastic pattern spontaneously generated Hexagram 23, “Breaking Apart.” FUCKUP then interpreted: “This traditionally unlucky sign was cast by Atlantean scientist-priests shortly before the destruction of their continent and is generally connected with death by water. Other vibrations link it to earthquakes, tornadoes and similar disasters, and to sickness, decay, and morbidity as well. The first correlation is with the unbalance between technological acceleration and political retrogression, which has proceeded earth-wide at ever widening danger levels since 1914 and especially since 1964. The breaking apart is fundamentally the schizoid and schismatic mental fugue of lawyer-politicians attempting to administrate a worldwide technology whose mechanisms they lack the education to comprehend and whose gestalt trend they frustrate by breaking apart into obsolete Renaissance nation-states. World War III is probably imminent and, considering the advances in chemical biological warfare in conjunction with the sickness vibrations of Hexagram 23, the unleashing of plague or nerve gas or both is as probable as thermonuclear overkill. General prognosis: many megadeaths. There is some hope for avoidance of the emerging pattern with prompt action of correct nature. Probability of such avoidance is 0.17 ± 0.05. No blame.”

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FreeBSD 11.0 Released
by grarpamp 12 Oct '16

12 Oct '16

Alternative OS news [not Windows, not Linux]... https://www.freebsd.org/releases/11.0R/announce.html https://www.freebsd.org/releases/11.0R/relnotes.html https://www.freebsd.org/features.html https://www.freebsd.org/doc/en_US.ISO8859-1/books/handbook/ https://forums.freebsd.org/ ftp://ftp.freebsd.org/pub/FreeBSD/releases/ISO-IMAGES/11.0/

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[WAR] Trump: "Assad is killing ISIS, Russia is killing ISIS, and Iran is killing ISIS."
by justa 12 Oct '16

12 Oct '16

Apparently, this is considered by some to be the definitive concluding statement by Trump in the recent USA presidential debate: “And one thing I have to say, I don’t like Assad at all, but Assad is killing ISIS, Russia is killing ISIS, and Iran is killing ISIS.” ** Trump blows up Syria war lie. No such thing as “moderate rebels”. Russia, Iran, Assad are “killing ISIS” [Video] (http://theduran.com/trump-blows-up-syria-war-lie-no-such-thing-as-moderate-…) ------------------------------------------------------------ Trump blows up Syria war lie. No such thing as “moderate rebels”. Russia, Iran, Assad are “killing ISIS” [Video] Trump exposed the entire Syria charade during last nights debate. Share it! The post Trump blows up Syria war lie. No such thing as “moderate rebels”. Russia, Iran, Assad are “killing ISIS” [Video] (http://theduran.com/trump-blows-up-syria-war-lie-no-such-thing-as-moderate-…) Now that the shackles are off, Trump could let loose - gold photo op :) ** Bill Clinton’s face says it all. Trump demolished Hillary in the second Presidential debate (http://theduran.com/bill-clintons-face-says-trump-demolished-hillary-second…) ------------------------------------------------------------ bill-clinton-debate-rape Round two was a clear victory for The Don. Hillary suffered a devastating defeat. The post Bill Clinton’s face says it all. Trump demolished Hillary in the second Presidential debate (http://theduran.com/bill-clintons-face-says-trump-demolished-hillary-second…) ** Trump comes out swinging! Breaking down an epic St. Louis debate (http://theduran.com/trump-comes-swinging/) ------------------------------------------------------------ Campaign 2016 Debate Trump was on his game. Clinton, who was on the defensive most of the night. The post Trump comes out swinging! Breaking down an epic St. Louis debate (http://theduran.com/trump-comes-swinging/) The next final Wikileaks boxing match begin: ** Wikileaks bombshell. Hillary’s 8 point plan to destroy ISIS and Syria: “Qatar and Saudi Arabia providing financial support to ISIL” (http://theduran.com/wikileaks-bombshell-hillarys-8-point-plan-to-destroy-is…) ------------------------------------------------------------ clinton-saudi The email leak reveals why the battle for Aleppo matters so much to Hillary Clinton. The post Wikileaks bombshell. Hillary’s 8 point plan to destroy ISIS and Syria: “Qatar and Saudi Arabia providing financial support to ISIL” (http://theduran.com/wikileaks-bombshell-hillarys-8-point-plan-to-destroy-is…) ** Hillary Unhinged! ‘War in Syria is Russia’s Fault’ (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=58pqFz7498A) ------------------------------------------------------------ hillary-debate The post Hillary Unhinged! ‘War in Syria is Russia’s Fault’ (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=58pqFz7498A) ** Sergei Lavrov says if Obama “carpet bombs” Syria, Russia has “air defense systems to protect its assets” (http://theduran.com/sergei-lavrov-says-if-obama-carpet-bombs-syria-russia-h…) ------------------------------------------------------------ sergey-lavrov Lavrov said he hoped Obama would not agree to a US plan to carpet bomb Syria. The post Sergei Lavrov says if Obama “carpet bombs” Syria, Russia has “air defense systems to protect its assets” (http://theduran.com/sergei-lavrov-says-if-obama-carpet-bombs-syria-russia-h…) ** Russia moves nuclear-capable Iskander-M missiles to Kaliningrad as Lithuania and Poland scream “Russian aggression” (http://theduran.com/russia-moves-nuclear-capable-iskander-m-missiles-to-kal…) ------------------------------------------------------------ Russia moves nuclear-capable Iskander-M missiles to Kaliningrad as Lithuania and Poland scream “Russian aggression” The Duran's Alex Christoforou weighs in on Russia's deployment of Iskandar-M missile to Kaliningrad. The post Russia moves nuclear-capable Iskander-M missiles to Kaliningrad as Lithuania and Poland scream “Russian aggression” (http://theduran.com/russia-moves-nuclear-capable-iskander-m-missiles-to-kal…) ** U.S. Intelligence meddles in U.S. Presidential election: backs Hillary Clinton, tries to stop Donald Trump (http://theduran.com/us-intelligence-meddles-us-presidential-election-backs-…) ------------------------------------------------------------ director-clapper The fact and evidence free statement by US intelligence that Russia was behind the DNC leak is an attempt to swing the US Presidential election in Hillary Clinton's favour and amounts to the direct interference of US intelligence in a democratic US election. The post U.S. Intelligence meddles in U.S. Presidential election: backs Hillary Clinton, tries to stop Donald Trump (http://theduran.com/us-intelligence-meddles-us-presidential-election-backs-…) Multi polar world on the way: ** Vladimir Putin wins the Hugo Chavez Peace Prize (http://theduran.com/why-vladimir-putin-deserved-to-win-the-hugo-chavez-peac…) ------------------------------------------------------------ image-5 Whereas the Nobel Peace Prize has been increasingly discredited by its obviously pro-Western bias, the award of Venezuela's newly created Hugo Chavez Peace Price to Vladimir Putin is just and fair. The post Vladimir Putin wins the Hugo Chavez Peace Prize (http://theduran.com/why-vladimir-putin-deserved-to-win-the-hugo-chavez-peac…) Russians Halt Search For Intelligent Life in Washington The Russian team believes there may still be small pockets of intelligent life elsewhere on the North American continent but without the necessary conditions it needs to thrive it is destined to disappear without trace https://off-guardian.org/2016/10/08/russians-halt-search-for-intelligent-li… Who's up for a World War III to Save al-Qaeda? There is no good reason to have nuclear armageddon but Washington is determined to engineer the stupidest http://www.unz.com/ishamir/nuclear-poker/ US Is the World's Premier Nation-Breaker http://www.counterpunch.org/2016/10/07/the-united-states-as-destroyer-of-na… Why the New Silk Roads Terrify Washington https://www.rt.com/op-edge/361898-new-silk-roads-terrify/ The evil rolls on: Saudis Deliberately Wipe out a Funeral in Yemen, 140 Dead. What Was US Role? http://russia-insider.com/en/saudis-wipe-out-funeral-yemen-140-dead-what-wa… An Opportunity Not to Be Missed: Eurasia Is Integrating at Breathtaking Speed http://russia-insider.com/en/business/opportunity-not-be-missed-eurasia-int… This might be funny to some, if the actions of the USA were not so evil: NED Chief Calls for US to Oust Putin America's chief "democracy promoter" believes it's up to the US to "summon the will" to oust the Russian president https://consortiumnews.com/2016/10/07/key-neocon-calls-on-us-to-oust-putin/

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Love that leaking, but...
by jim bell 11 Oct '16

11 Oct '16

First, I should say that I am absolutely in favor of the political leaking going on in this election cycle. The Democrats can do no better than to accuse "the Russians" of being responsible for many of those leaks. My position is, the more leaks, the better. John Young correctly pointed out that leakers have their own motivations and biases, too. Well, we really can't do much about that: I would much rather have leaks than to not have them. But there's a matter that should be considered. Less than a week ago, an audio recording of Donald Trump and Billy Bush was released, made about 11 years ago. The reports are unclear, but hey may have been made in New York state or California. News reports suggest that these recordings were made without the consent (or the knowledge) of Trump and Bush. That's significant, because New York is a "one-party consent state", meaning that it is illegal to record audio of a conversation unless at least one party is aware of that recording. California is a "two-party consent state", which means that all parties to the conversation must be aware of, and consent to, the recording. While Bush apparently eventually learned of the recording, that knowledge and consent did not exist at the time of the recording. So, making that recording was illegal, in fact a crime under New York laws. However, due to the very likely expiration of the limitations period ("statute of limitations"), the act of that recording almost certainly can probably no longer be prosecuted. Yet, the relevant New York Statute apparently criminalizes not merely the act of recording, but also and separately the act of disclosing the recording. http://www.realpolice.net/forums/ask-cop-112/91044-secretly-recording-face-… https://www.mwl-law.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/03/LAWS-ON-RECORDING-CONVER… http://www.dmlp.org/legal-guide/new-york-recording-law It's very likely that NBC did not have either Billy Bush or Donald Trump's consent to disclose that audio. And, it is conceivable that since the original recording was illegally made, subsequent consent would be ineffective to allow disclosure. Therefore, a crime has probably been committed, and likely by the NBC staff. It is said in recent news reports that Billy Bush bragged about his knowledge of this recording at the recent Rio Olympics, presumably leading to staff to search their archives for it. Well, evidently they found it, and they delayed releasing this information until a month before the election. These facts strongly suggests that these NBC staff actually committed a new crime, disclosure of this illegally-recorded audio, and did so less than one week ago. This will probably be prosecutable for a few years in the state of New York. We don't have to think any better of Trump due to this (il)legal aspect to this recording and disclosure. But I think we should think much worse of the MSM (MainStream Media), who we now see are willing to commit crimes in order to defeat Trump. Their hypocrisy is exposed by the contrast between their apparent criticism of Russia's alleged hacking and leaking of various emails, such as DNC, Hillary Clinton, John Podesta, and others. Jim Bell

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[Rus] Crimea experiences Mission, Creep.
by Razer 11 Oct '16

11 Oct '16

This is touching. The ground under the Crimean people itself want to be part of Russia. "Researchers in Russia reported that the disputed Crimean Peninsula, annexed from Ukraine in 2014, is moving toward their country at a rate of 2.9 millimeters per year, and will reach the mainland in 1.5 million years." http://harpers.org/blog/2016/10/weeklyreview2016-10-11/

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[OT] Where are the Chinese trolls?
by Georgi Guninski 11 Oct '16

11 Oct '16

Where are the Chinese trolls? Really. Trolling USA vs Russia is erroneously missing from the equation China. China is playing with quants and big exporter -- if the Party increases something like export taxes this will hurt Reality(tm) financially. Are the Chinese trolls just sitting behind the great firewall/proxy? If they come, hope they are better than "tutti frutti au rootie" (Elvis mizpelled ROOTY).

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[WAR] - Clinton, with parkinsons, sociopathic, the Big Red Button woman
by Zenaan Harkness 11 Oct '16

11 Oct '16

Clinton's Slow Eye Blinks Are a Parkinson Symptom http://russia-insider.com/en/politics/clinton-slow-eye-blinks-parkinson-sym… There are dozens of other links, so ginyf (google is not your friend).

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[USA] "if the new battleground is spousal fidelity, you have to like Trump’s chances"
by Zenaan Harkness 11 Oct '16

11 Oct '16

Too much fun one wonders if this level of entertainment is lawful: 15 reasons why Trump audio leak will not do any damage to The Don, as explained by Dilbert Creator Scott Adams http://theduran.com/15-reasons-why-the-trump-audio-leak-not-damage-to-the-d…

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[#NoDAPL] It's National #ShutTheMotherfuckerDown Day
by Razer 11 Oct '16

11 Oct '16

It's working.... http://www.shutitdown.today/liveupdates Tim DeChristopher @dechristopher Breaking: ALL tar sands pipelines crossing Canada/US border now shut down in solidarity w/ #NoDAPL http://www.shutitdown.today/liveupdates #shutitdown For those who aren't aware who @dechristopher is, he's "Bidder70". The guy who blew up a BLM land auction a few years ago by bogusly bidding on a piece of land intended for fracking exploration. He did federal time over it which included a 'mysterious' attempt by the Bureau of Prisons to put DeChristopher, a Gandhian pacifist, in solitary confinement. A mass letter writing campaign forced the BOP to relent after a few days. I did some social network research at the time and discovered the likely source leading to that attempt. A Rethuglican Colorado congresscreep who was invested in one of the exploration companies bidding in the auction. Ps. There's a site called Bidder70. org. Guess whose hosting it? http://whois.domaintools.com/bidder70.org Meanwhile,HAHAHAHA! Thank you WikiLeaks! According to Hillary Clinton, Native Americans are a fucking Commie Threat! David Sirota Verified account (IBTimes) @davidsirota REVEALED: In paid speech, Clinton said enviro groups opposing her effort to expand fracking are Russian front groups https://twitter.com/davidsirota/status/785502787563954182 I have a VERY special message for Killary from 'Merica's Indigenous people: https://twitter.com/AuntieImperial/status/785870511498592256 ---------------------- Rr "The roots of repression are and remain real roots; consequently, their eradication remains a real and rational job. What is to be abolished is not the reality principle; not everything, but such particular things as business, politics, exploitation, poverty." ~Herbert Marcuse, "Love Mystified", a critique of UCSC Philosophy professor Norman O. Brown, 1967 (When UCSC was still a hip Antioch-like liberal arts school) https://www.commentarymagazine.com/articles/love-mystified-a-critique-of-no…

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Interpreting Data About ISIS Online (Center for Public Diplomacy)
by Razer 11 Oct '16

11 Oct '16

Interpreting Data About ISIS Online Oct 6, 2016 Challenging ISIS has little to do with their number of followers, or the decline in their number of messages. This type of tactical-level data can indicate success, but genuine impact can only occur with robust interpretation of data at the strategic level. Recent studies have been used to claim success in reducing the number of followers and volume of ISIS content on social media. Reports which appear to show decline are seized on and used by many of the Public Diplomacy and Information Operations strategies deployed against ISIS, which seek opportunities to highlight failures and losses of the group. Yet it is equally clear that, despite increasing efforts by western governments and social media providers to counter ISIS online, ISIS continues to produce and disseminate large quantities of ideologically-inspired audio visual content and information. Equally, individuals who have never had direct contact with the group commit acts of violence in their name. As such, it is often the case that the detail tells a different story than some of the claims made about the data, specifically that ISIS is experiencing a decline in followers and content on Twitter.< Decline in the Number of Twitter Followers The decline in the number of followers is frequently cited by those seeking to emphasize success against ISIS. I’ve written previously about the significant problems in the data collection and analysis in one of the frequently cited studies. Even so, this study is cited as showing a decline in follower numbers, despite actually concluding that “suspensions held the size and reach of the overall network flat, while devastating the reach of specific users who have been repeatedly targeted.” Claims of success against an adversary must account for fluctuations in said adversary’s tactics. Social media platforms are fundamentally social networks. The metrics about followers which Twitter produces are accurate for an individual account, but cannot simply be aggregated to show the total number of followers in a specific network. If number of followers is aggregated, it will likely produce wildly inflated numbers for reach, and equally overstate the decline in ISIS social media. The falling follower fallacy is demonstrated in the image below. In it, the same nodes are shown connected in different configurations, similar to the three types or topologies John Arquilla and David Ronfeldt highlighted in their discussion of Netwar. [Chart] Reading left to right, the different layouts demonstrate that: Aggregating follower numbers inflates the number of accounts that appear to be in the network. The decline in aggregated follower numbers cannot be read as showing decline in the number of accounts in the network. The decline in aggregated follower numbers cannot be used to show that the network is being disrupted. Ultimately, the Twitter strategy is to disseminate content, not gather followers. In fact, distributing content rather than gaining followers is the stated objective within ISIS networks, and as shown here, this is entirely possible despite declining aggregate follower numbers..." More, with links: http://uscpublicdiplomacy.org/blog/interpreting-data-about-isis-online

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